Western heat dome shatters records. Here’s when it will end. (2024)

After breaking numerous records in the western United States on Thursday, the season’s first major heat wave is continuing Friday, scorching cities from Texas to California. The hazardous heat should gradually ease this weekend but will persist in portions of Texas and Oklahoma.

The sprawling heat dome set scores of records Thursday, including in Sacramento, Phoenix and Las Vegas, which matched its earliest high of at least 110 degrees.

More than 25 million people from California’s Central Valley to Texas remain under heat alerts on Friday. The most extreme temperature forecasts triggered the highest levels of the National Weather Service’s HeatRisk forecast, which rates the danger to human health.

Officials urged people to be safe in the heat by limiting their time outdoors, staying hydrated, wearing lightweight and light-colored clothes, and never leaving children or pets unattended in vehicles.

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For a second consecutive day, the heat registered at the highest level of an index that measures the influence of human-caused climate change.

The heat wave’s hottest spots

Forecasters predict the worst of the heat to stay centered on the Desert Southwest, California’s Central Valley, and western and southern Texas on Friday. This weekend, the heat is expected to ease in central California but persist across portions of the Desert Southwest and Texas, while briefly spreading into parts of Oklahoma.

Notable calendar-day record highs that were either broken or tied Thursday include Death Valley (122); Needles, Calif. (115); Phoenix (113); Las Vegas (111); Fresno, Calif. (107); Palmdale, Calif. (103); Amarillo, Tex. (102); Bishop, Calif. (102); Sacramento (101); Kanab, Utah (101); Reno, Nev. (98); and Flagstaff, Ariz. (91).

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Here is a state-by-state roundup of forecasts and records already tied or broken:

Arizona

Phoenix is forecast to reach near 110 degrees on Friday after climbing to 113 on Thursday, beating the previous calendar-day record of 111. Only slightly cooler highs of 103 to 108 are expected Saturday through Wednesday.

Temperatures in Tucson should climb to near 105 on Friday and Saturday before slightly cooler highs near 100 Sunday and Monday, then warming to near 105 again Tuesday and Wednesday.

California

Death Valley is forecast to reach 121 degrees on Friday and 118 on Saturday, short of the record high of 123 for both days, after setting a calendar-day record with a high of 122 on Thursday.

In central California, Fresno and Bakersfield are forecast to reach near 105 on Friday, registering a Level 3 out of 4 HeatRisk, before cooling off to the mid- to upper 90s this weekend. But then they could soar past 100 again by Tuesday and Wednesday.

Nevada

Temperatures in Las Vegas are forecast to reach near 110 degrees on Friday after hitting a record 111 on Thursday. Thursday’s minimum temperature of 85 was two degrees warmer than the previous warmest minimum for the date.

The city’s HeatRisk forecast remains at a Level 4 through Saturday, which is described as “rare and/or long-duration extreme heat with little to no overnight relief.” While cooling slightly, Las Vegas should remain several degrees hotter than normal into next week, with forecast highs of 103 to 108 Saturday through Wednesday, compared to an early-June average high in the upper 90s.

In nearby Henderson, a blacktop surface registered a temperature of 162 degrees on Thursday. “When it’s this hot outside, blacktop & sidewalks can turn into frying pans in the afternoon, which is why it is best to walk your four-legged friends in the morning hours when it is cooler,” the National Weather Service in Las Vegas said on X.

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New Mexico

Albuquerque is forecast to reach a record-matching high of 100 Friday and Saturday, both days registering as a Level 3 HeatRisk, after hitting 100 for the first time this year on Thursday. That was one degree short of tying the record for the date. Daytime highs should cool off to the low 90s and upper 80s on Sunday and Monday.

Forecast highs in Roswell are near 105 degrees Friday and Saturday, right around the calendar-day records of 105 to 106, before cooling to the mid-90s on Sunday.

Oklahoma

Oklahoma City and Tulsa are forecast to reach the mid- to upper 90s on Saturday, briefly reaching a Level 3 HeatRisk, before cooler daytime highs in the upper 80s Sunday.

Texas

El Paso is forecast to reach 106 degrees on Friday and 103 on Saturday, both days registering as a Level 4 HeatRisk. Friday’s high could come close to the calendar-day record of 108. Temperatures should then top out closer to 100 Sunday through Tuesday.

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Daytime highs are forecast to reach near 100 on Friday and Saturday in Amarillo, where the HeatRisk is at a Level 3. The city tied its calendar-day record of 102 on Thursday, which also stands as the record to beat for Friday. Much cooler highs in the 80s and 70s are expected Sunday through Tuesday.

Amarillo and nearby Pantex both experienced what are known as heat bursts on Thursday, when temperatures spiked approximately 10 to 15 degrees in just a few minutes as winds gusted underneath dying thunderstorms.

Heat reaches highs level of climate index again

The ongoing heat wave is a direct result of a high-pressure heat dome that has scorched Mexico for weeks — resulting in the country’s hottest and driest May on record — before expanding north and west into portions of the United States this week. Such heat domes suppress clouds and compress the air beneath them, causing the air to heat up.

For the second day in a row, Climate Central’s Climate Shift Index for Friday had reached a Level 5 across much of the Southwestern United States. That is the index’s highest level, indicating that human-caused climate change has made such heat five times as likely.

Western heat dome shatters records. Here’s when it will end. (2024)

FAQs

Will there be a heat dome in 2024? ›

The June 2024 heat wave was unusually early and long-lasting compared with typical patterns for the Northeast U.S. It was caused by a large high-pressure system called a heat dome that extended from the ground more than 10 miles up through the atmosphere.

What was the hottest heat wave in history? ›

Death Valley National Park, a desert in southwestern California known as the most scorching place on earth, just had its hottest summer in history. The average temperature from June to August was 104.5 degrees, breaking previous records of 104.2 degrees, set in 2021 and 2018, according to the National Park Service.

How long do heat domes last? ›

How long does a heat dome last? It can last for several days to a few weeks. In some cases, a heat dome can carry on for two weeks or more. The National Weather Service's heat advisories are in place till 8pm EDT (12:00 GMT) on Thursday or Friday, depending on the city.

What is causing the heat wave in California? ›

The heat wave baking large swaths of California is driven by a large ridge of high pressure building over the Great Basin. This is a similar dynamic to what happened in early July, when a ridge of high pressure brought several days of record-breaking heat to California.

What year will the world be too hot? ›

The United Nations scientific panel on climate change shows we are destined for 3°C of warming by 2100 at current emissions levels, at which point weather extremes may prove insurmountable for large swaths of the global population.

Is this the worst summer ever in 2024? ›

The mean temperature of 13.04°C in 2024 stands as the 17th coolest start to summer. Rainfall data (in a series from 1891) shows that with 113.8mm of rain for the UK so far, summer 2024 is around average so far for rainfall.

What heat wave killed the most people? ›

In the disastrous heat wave of 1980, more than 1,250 people died. In the heat wave of 1995, more than 700 deaths in the Chicago area were attributed to heat, making this the deadliest weather event in Chicago history. In August 2003, a record heat wave in Europe claimed an estimated 50,000 lives.

What was the hottest year ever on Earth? ›

Details. The year 2023 was the warmest year since global records began in 1850 at 1.18°C (2.12°F) above the 20th-century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F). This value is 0.15°C (0.27°F) more than the previous record set in 2016. The 10 warmest years in the 174-year record have all occurred during the last decade (2014–2023).

What can break a heat dome? ›

A heat dome can last for days or even weeks until broken up by a cold front.

Will summer 2024 be hotter than normal? ›

On June 30, CPC released its updated monthly climate outlooks for temperature, precipitation, and drought across the United States for July 2024. The temperature outlook favors well above average temperatures across almost the entire nation, with no tilt in odds toward any category over parts of the northern Midwest.

Why is it so hot in the US? ›

Temperatures get a boost from climate change

Scientists say heat waves will continue to intensify if the world continues to unleash climate-warming emissions from the burning of fossil fuels.

Where is the hottest place on Earth? ›

Two places hold the record for highest surface temperatures on the planet. Death Valley holds the record for the highest air temperature on the planet: On 10 July 1913, temperatures at the aptly named Furnace Creek area in the California desert reached a blistering 56.7°C (134.1°F).

What is the highest temperature in 2024? ›

On 22 July 2024, the daily global average temperature reached a new record high in the ERA5 dataset*, at 17.16°C.

What is the heat dome in 2024? ›

An area of high pressure lingered in the upper atmosphere over the U.S. Midwest and Northeast in June 2024. This pushed warm air toward the surface and trapped it there—a weather phenomenon meteorologists call a heat dome. Heat domes put the brakes on convection and suppress clouds and precipitation.

Is 2024 going to be the hottest year? ›

The average anomaly for the remaining months of this year would need to drop by at least 0.30°C for 2024 not to be warmer than 2023. This has never happened in the entire ERA5 dataset, making it increasingly likely that 2024 is going to be the warmest year on record.

Is there a heat wave in the U.S. in summer 2024? ›

A record high temperature was also tied in Hartford. July 2024 was the hottest calendar month on record in many cities across the western United States, including Las Vegas, Palm Springs, Fresno, Redding, Salem, and San Jose. On August 27, several cities in Illinois and Indiana set heat records.

What is the climate change in 2024? ›

The monthly bulletin from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) said that June to August of 2024 overtook summer 2023, and that the exceptional heat increases the likelihood 2024 will become the hottest year ever.

Is 2025 going to be hotter? ›

Global temperature is likely to hit a new record high before 2025, and there is a slight chance of a year 1.5°C warmer than preindustrial levels by then, according to a new decadal outlook released by the UK Met Office on Thursday.

References

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